2026 Oscar Predictions - Round 4 (Final)

Picture
One Battle After Another
Sinners
Frankenstein
Hamnet
Marty Supreme
The Secret Agent - New
Sentimental Value
Train Dreams - Promoted
Bugonia
It Was Just an Accident

2nd Tier
F1: The Movie - New

Dropped Out
Wicked: For Good
Avatar: Fire and Ash


Director
Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another)
Chloe Zhao (Hamnet)
Ryan Coogler (Sinners)
Guillermo Del Toro (Frankenstein) - New
Josh Safdie (Marty Supreme) - New

2nd Tier
Joachim Trier (Sentimental Value) - Demoted

Dropped Out
Jafar Panahi (It Was Just an Accident)
Jon M. Chu (Wicked: For Good)


Actress
Rose Byrne (If I Had Legs I'd Kick You)
Jessie Buckley (Hamnet)
Renate Reinsve (Sentimental Value)
Emma Stone (Bugonia) - Promoted
Chase Infiniti (One Battle After Another) - New

2nd Tier
Kate Hudson (Song Sung Blue) - New

Dropped Out
Cynthia Erivo (Wicked: For Good)
Amanda Seyfried (The Testament of Ann Lee)


Actor
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)

2nd Tier
Jesse Plemons (Bugonia) - New

Dropped Out
Jeremy Allen White (Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere)
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)


Supporting Actress
Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another)
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (Sentimental Value)
Amy Madigan (Weapons)
Wunmi Mosaku (Sinners) - New
Ariana Grande (Wicked: For Good)

2nd Tier
Odessa A'zion (Marty Supreme) - New

Dropped Out
Elle Fanning (Sentimental Value)
Regina Hall (One Battle After Another)


Supporting Actor
Benicio Del Toro (One Battle After Another) - Promoted
Stellan Skarsgård (Sentimental Value)
Sean Penn (One Battle After Another)
Jacob Elordi (Frankenstein)
Paul Mescal (Hamnet)

2nd Tier
Adam Sandler (Jay Kelly) - Demoted