2026 Oscar Predictions - Round 3

Picture
One Battle After Another
Hamnet
Sinners
Marty Supreme
Sentimental Value
Wicked: For Good
Frankenstein - Promoted back
It Was Just an Accident
Avatar: Fire and Ash - Promoted back
Bugonia

2nd Tier
Train Dreams - New
Jay Kelly - Demoted

Dropped Out
A House of Dynamite
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

Director
Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another)
Chloe Zhao (Hamnet)
Ryan Coogler (Sinners)
Joachim Trier (Sentimental Value)
Jafar Panahi (It Was Just an Accident)

2nd Tier
Jon M. Chu (Wicked: For Good) - New

Actress
Jessie Buckley (Hamnet)
Cynthia Erivo (Wicked: For Good)
Renate Reinsve (Sentimental Value)
Amanda Seyfried (The Testament of Ann Lee) - New
Rose Byrne (If I Had Legs I'd Kick You)

2nd Tier
Emma Stone (Bugonia) - Demoted

Dropped Out
Julia Roberts (After the Hunt)
Sydney Sweeney (Christy)

Actor
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) - Promoted
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon) - New

2nd Tier
Jeremy Allen White (Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere) - Demoted
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams) - New

Dropped Out
Dwayne Johnson (The Smashing Machine)

Supporting Actress
Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another)
Ariana Grande (Wicked: For Good)
Amy Madigan (Weapons)
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (Sentimental Value)
Elle Fanning (Sentimental Value)

2nd Tier
Regina Hall (One Battle After Another) - New

Dropped Out
Emily Blunt (The Smashing Machine)

Supporting Actor
Sean Penn (One Battle After Another)
Stellan Skarsgård (Sentimental Value)
Paul Mescal (Hamnet)
Adam Sandler (Jay Kelly)
Jacob Elordi (Frankenstein) - New

2nd Tier
Benicio Del Toro (One Battle After Another) - New

Dropped Out
Jeremy Strong (Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere)
Delroy Lindo (Sinners)