2026 Oscar Predictions - Round 1 - Best Picture & Director

Picture

1. Sentimental Value
2. Sinners - New
3. Wicked: For Good
4. Bugonia
5. One Battle After Another
6. Marty Supreme
7. Deliver Me from Nowhere - Promoted
8. Jay Kelly - New
9. Frankenstein
10. It Was Just an Accident - New

2nd Tier
Hamnet - Demoted
Avatar: Fire and Ash  - Demoted
After the Hunt - Demoted

Dropped
Michael
The Life of Chuck

Director

1. Ryan Coogler (Sinners)
2. Joachim Trier (Sentimental Value)
3. Jafar Panahi (It Was Just an Accident)
4. Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another)
5. Yorgos Lanthimos (Bugonia)

2nd Tier
Chloe Zhao (Hamnet)
Josh Safdie (Marty Supreme)