2025 Oscar Predictions - Round 4

Picture

1. The Brutalist
2. Wicked - Promoted Back
3. Anora
4. Conclave
5. Emilia Perez
6. Dune: Part Two
7. Sing Sing
8. A Real Pain - New
9. Nickel Boys
10. A Complete Unknown

2nd Tier
September 5
The Substance - New

Dropped
Blitz
Gladiator 2

Director

1. Edward Berger (Conclave)
2. Brady Corbet (The Brutalist)
3. Sean Baker (Anora)
4. Jacques Audiard (Emilia Perez)
5. Jon M. Chu (Wicked) - New

2nd Tier
Denis Villeneuve (Dune: Part Two) - Demoted

Dropped
Steve McQueen (Blitz)

Actress

1. Mikey Madison (Anora)
2. Karla Sofia Gascon (Emilia Perez)
3. Cynthia Erivo (Wicked) - New
4. Angelina Jolie (Maria)
5. Marianne Jean-Baptiste (Hard Truths) - New

2nd Tier
Nicole Kidman (Babygirl) - Demoted

Dropped
Amy Adams (Nightbitch)
Saoirse Ronan (The Outrun)

Actor

1. Adrien Brody (The Brutalist)
2. Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown)
3. Ralph Fiennes (Conclave)
4. Colman Domingo (Sing Sing)
5. Daniel Craig (Queer)

2nd Tier 
Jesse Eisenberg (A Real Pain) - New

Dropped
Sebastian Stan (The Apprentice)

Supporting Actress

1. Ariana Grande (Wicked) - New
2. Zoe Saldana (Emilia Perez)
3. Isabella Rossellini (Conclave)
4. Felicity Jones (The Brutalist)
5. Danielle Deadwyler (The Piano Lesson)

2nd Tier
Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (Nickel Boys) - New

Dropped
Selena Gomez (Emilia Perez)
Saoirse Ronan (Blitz)

Supporting Actor

1. Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain)
2. Guy Pearce (The Brutalist)
3. Denzel Washington (Gladiator 2)
4. Yura Borisov (Anora) - New
5. Clarence Maclin (Sing Sing)

2nd Tier
Edward Norton (A Complete Unknown)

Dropped
Jeremy Strong (The Apprentice)
Stanley Tucci (Conclave)