2010 Oscar Predictions - Round 3 - Best Picture and Director

Best Picture

1st Tier 

127 Hours

Black Swan

The Fighter

Inception 

The Kids Are All Right

The King's Speech

The Social Network

Toy Story 3

True Grit

Winter's Bone

2nd Tier

The Town

Blue Valentine (New)

Dropped Out

The Way Back

Best Director

1st Tier

Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan 

David Fincher, The Social Network

Tom Hooper, The King's Speech

Christopher Nolan, Inception

David O' Russell, The Fighter (New)

2nd Tier

Danny Boyle, 127 Hours (Demoted)

Ethan and Joel Coen, True Grit

Dropped Out

Peter Weir, The Way Back